Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 24.282811 28.091751 32.222847 37.026028 42.446422 48.363035 55.298961
2024-12-29 18.066417 23.383578 29.718756 37.772045 47.680458 59.412741 74.290081
2025-01-05 14.863112 21.016019 28.902397 39.631366 53.708399 71.395054 95.119552
2025-01-12 11.740092 17.954166 26.445588 38.692962 55.661172 78.060254 109.525634
2025-01-19 9.228583 15.174246 23.788934 36.885610 55.928185 82.176274 120.550332
2025-01-26 8.414894 14.679425 24.196247 39.284892 62.074356 94.562816 143.544986
2025-02-02 8.014007 14.726166 25.352845 42.822472 70.078717 110.057157 171.908623
2025-02-09 7.080060 13.736730 24.736810 43.505317 73.770748 119.455518 191.985888
2025-02-16 6.168791 12.628060 23.758997 43.447278 76.217357 127.052069 209.753273
2025-02-23 5.341370 11.528184 22.636163 42.981470 77.890141 133.468598 225.999281
2025-03-02 4.672496 10.612967 21.706270 42.708582 79.789380 140.276032 243.157998
2025-03-09 4.096947 9.784028 20.818671 42.388096 81.526096 146.857271 260.249822
2025-03-16 3.295145 8.381785 18.734491 39.785514 79.283272 147.087071 267.679544
2025-03-23 3.003438 8.039359 18.688719 41.031135 84.069106 159.580828 296.447082
2025-03-30 2.821454 7.913387 19.062545 43.122727 90.573280 175.458933 331.912268
2025-04-06 2.401780 7.137495 17.959597 42.129828 91.171705 180.971578 349.822031
2025-04-13 1.978173 6.256310 16.488703 40.185254 89.717081 182.634776 360.988934
2025-04-20 1.913872 6.305177 17.124264 42.771834 97.411664 201.500956 403.924954
2025-04-27 1.924256 6.561292 18.273059 46.582159 107.849991 226.055942 458.412800
2025-05-04 1.752008 6.264065 18.054343 47.317319 112.013746 238.984995 492.190470
2025-05-11 1.558297 5.860592 17.514742 47.254846 114.484263 248.786067 520.623458
2025-05-18 1.368458 5.424009 16.824278 46.753377 115.951994 256.679792 545.808774
2025-05-25 1.211017 5.053368 16.250125 46.459574 117.829681 265.464320 573.108748